Prelims1
Middleweight
Gerald Meerschaert vs Joe Pyfer
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
·Kaseya Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Gerald Meerschaert
Joe Pyfer
48%
52%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
35
Age
Δ 9y
27
38-22
Career record
Δ 22 pp
17-3
W1
Current streak
W1
17
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Meerschaert: 10 sig / 0 TD ·
Pyfer: 14 sig / 0 TD
Gerald Meerschaert
Joe Pyfer
27
Sig strikes landed
29
50
Sig strikes attempted
82
25
Total strikes landed
38
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
64s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
15%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gerald Meerschaert
"GM3"
38-22
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
17 fights · 10-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Joe Pyfer
"Bodybagz"
17-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—