Main
Bantamweight
Raul Rosas Jr. vs Christian Rodriguez
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
·Kaseya Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Raul Rosas Jr.
Christian Rodriguez
72%
28%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
18
Age
Δ 7y
25
13-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
13-4
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rosas Jr.: 2 sig / 3 TD ·
Rodriguez: 29 sig / 1 TD
Raul Rosas Jr.
Christian Rodriguez
22
Sig strikes landed
17
49
Sig strikes attempted
38
43
Total strikes landed
31
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
231s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
47%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Raul Rosas Jr.
"El Nino Problema"
13-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
19
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
Blue corner
W1
Christian Rodriguez
"Ceerod"
13-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—