Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
JeongYeong Lee
Yizha
28%
72%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
27
Age
Δ 1y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Lee: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Yizha: 24 sig / 5 TD
JeongYeong Lee
Yizha
32
Sig strikes landed
38
77
Sig strikes attempted
73
48
Total strikes landed
56
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
93s
Control time
174s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
JeongYeong Lee
"Korean Tiger"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Yizha
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26