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Prelims1 Lightweight

Jeka Saragih vs Anshul Jubli

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jeka Saragih
Anshul Jubli
65% 35%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
28
Age
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Saragih: 14 sig / 0 TD · Jubli: 38 sig / 2 TD
Jeka Saragih
Anshul Jubli
36
Sig strikes landed
34
72
Sig strikes attempted
73
53
Total strikes landed
42
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
179s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jeka Saragih

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Anshul Jubli

"King of Lions"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
28