Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
JunYong Park
Denis Tiuliulin
82%
18%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
20-7
Career record
Δ 22 pp
11-10
W2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Park: 25 sig / 1 TD ·
Tiuliulin: 8 sig / 0 TD
JunYong Park
Denis Tiuliulin
65
Sig strikes landed
49
131
Sig strikes attempted
120
84
Total strikes landed
59
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.1
4.9
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
229s
Control time
8s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
JunYong Park
"The Iron Turtle"
20-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
Blue corner
W1
Denis Tiuliulin
11-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—