Prelims1
Welterweight
Trevin Giles vs Preston Parsons
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Trevin Giles
Preston Parsons
64%
36%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
17-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
12-6
W1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Giles: 55 sig / 0 TD ·
Parsons: 42 sig / 3 TD
Trevin Giles
Preston Parsons
35
Sig strikes landed
35
76
Sig strikes attempted
68
54
Total strikes landed
56
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
147s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Trevin Giles
17-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
Blue corner
W1
Preston Parsons
"Pressure"
12-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—