Main
Women's Flyweight
Andrea Lee vs Maycee Barber
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andrea Lee
Maycee Barber
23%
77%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
65"
34
Age
Δ 9y
25
13-12
Career record
Δ 32 pp
16-3
L1
Current streak
W3
9
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Lee: 39 sig / 5 TD ·
Barber: 48 sig / 2 TD
Andrea Lee
Maycee Barber
52
Sig strikes landed
59
100
Sig strikes attempted
132
73
Total strikes landed
93
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
140s
Control time
191s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
L
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
Blue corner
W3
Maycee Barber
"The Future"
16-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—