Main
Women's Bantamweight
Holly Holm vs Yana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Holly Holm
Yana Santos
43%
57%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
41
Age
Δ 8y
33
15-8
Career record
Δ 0 pp
17-9
L1
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holm: 32 sig / 4 TD ·
Santos: 21 sig / 0 TD
Holly Holm
Yana Santos
51
Sig strikes landed
61
115
Sig strikes attempted
118
85
Total strikes landed
96
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
237s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
82%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
41
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
L
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Yana Santos
17-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos …
—