Back to UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Prelims1 Middleweight

Sedriques Dumas vs Josh Fremd

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili ·The Theater at Virgin Hotels Las Vegas
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Sedriques Dumas
Josh Fremd
61% 39%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
28
Age
Δ 2y
29
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Dumas: 20 sig / 0 TD · Fremd: 33 sig / 2 TD
Sedriques Dumas
Josh Fremd
37
Sig strikes landed
29
72
Sig strikes attempted
59
57
Total strikes landed
44
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
133s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sedriques Dumas

"The Reaper"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L2

Josh Fremd

11-7
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
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