Prelims1
Bantamweight
Victor Henry vs Tony Gravely
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
·The Theater at Virgin Hotels Las Vegas
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Victor Henry
Tony Gravely
54%
46%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
36
Age
Δ 4y
31
25-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
23-10
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Henry: 154 sig / 0 TD ·
Gravely: 75 sig / 3 TD
Victor Henry
Tony Gravely
87
Sig strikes landed
69
150
Sig strikes attempted
137
123
Total strikes landed
91
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.3
1.4
Takedowns attempted
10.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
68s
Control time
227s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Victor Henry
"La Mangosta"
25-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
L1
Tony Gravely
23-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—