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Main Light Heavyweight

Vitor Petrino vs Anton Turkalj

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili ·The Theater at Virgin Hotels Las Vegas
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Vitor Petrino
Anton Turkalj
77% 23%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
78"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Petrino: 39 sig / 7 TD · Turkalj: 33 sig / 5 TD
Vitor Petrino
Anton Turkalj
31
Sig strikes landed
28
53
Sig strikes attempted
38
57
Total strikes landed
32
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
173s
Control time
282s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Vitor Petrino

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
L1

Anton Turkalj

"The Pleasure Man"
8-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
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