Main
Heavyweight
Alexander Volkov vs Alexandr Romanov
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
·The Theater at Virgin Hotels Las Vegas
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexander Volkov
Alexandr Romanov
81%
19%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 5"
75"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
41-11
Career record
Δ 3 pp
18-4
W1
Current streak
L1
13
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Volkov: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Romanov: 0 sig / 0 TD
Alexander Volkov
Alexandr Romanov
46
Sig strikes landed
42
76
Sig strikes attempted
79
68
Total strikes landed
55
-0.1
Takedowns landed
2.8
-0.5
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
14s
Control time
224s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
41-11
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
Blue corner
L1
Alexandr Romanov
"King Kong"
18-4
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—