Main
Bantamweight
Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
·The Theater at Virgin Hotels Las Vegas
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili
56%
44%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
20-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-5
L2
Current streak
W8
11
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Yan: 75 sig / 1 TD ·
Dvalishvili: 147 sig / 11 TD
Petr Yan
Merab Dvalishvili
66
Sig strikes landed
69
142
Sig strikes attempted
160
85
Total strikes landed
110
1.0
Takedowns landed
3.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
21.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
91s
Control time
231s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
20-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 8-3
Last 5
L
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
L
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
Blue corner
W8
Merab Dvalishvili
"The Machine"
22-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—