Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mana Martinez
Cameron Saaiman
40%
60%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
27
Age
Δ 5y
22
11-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
10-3
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Martinez: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Saaiman: 117 sig / 1 TD
Mana Martinez
Cameron Saaiman
49
Sig strikes landed
52
93
Sig strikes attempted
120
57
Total strikes landed
68
0.3
Takedowns landed
2.1
-0.2
Takedowns attempted
6.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
25s
Control time
231s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mana Martinez
"ManaBoi"
11-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
L
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
W1
Cameron Saaiman
"MSP"
10-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—