Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Da'Mon Blackshear
Farid Basharat
34%
66%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
29
Age
Δ 3y
26
D1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Blackshear: 46 sig / 1 TD ·
Basharat: 58 sig / 3 TD
Da'Mon Blackshear
Farid Basharat
38
Sig strikes landed
38
79
Sig strikes attempted
75
50
Total strikes landed
78
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
86s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Da'Mon Blackshear
"The Monster"
17-8-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-0
Last 1
D
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
Farid Basharat
"Ferocious"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26