Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Esteban Ribovics
Loik Radzhabov
64%
36%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
27
Age
Δ 6y
32
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ribovics: 66 sig / 0 TD ·
Radzhabov: 40 sig / 11 TD
Esteban Ribovics
Loik Radzhabov
36
Sig strikes landed
38
76
Sig strikes attempted
79
52
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
137s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Esteban Ribovics
"El Gringo"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Loik Radzhabov
"The Tajik Tank"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33