Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mike Malott
Yohan Lainesse
74%
26%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
15-2-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
10-3
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Malott: 9 sig / 1 TD ·
Lainesse: 1 sig / 0 TD
Mike Malott
Yohan Lainesse
36
Sig strikes landed
24
72
Sig strikes attempted
55
48
Total strikes landed
26
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
82s
Control time
32s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Mike Malott
"Proper"
15-2-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
W1
Yohan Lainesse
"White Lion"
10-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—