Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Erick Gonzalez
Trevor Peek
53%
47%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
L2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Gonzalez: 7 sig / 4 TD ·
Peek: 51 sig / 0 TD
Erick Gonzalez
Trevor Peek
27
Sig strikes landed
35
59
Sig strikes attempted
61
43
Total strikes landed
50
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Erick Gonzalez
"The Ghost Pepper"
14-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
Blue corner
Trevor Peek
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
28