Prelims1
Welterweight
AJ Fletcher vs Themba Gorimbo
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
AJ Fletcher
Themba Gorimbo
60%
40%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 10"
77"
26
Age
Δ 6y
32
L2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Fletcher: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Gorimbo: 6 sig / 2 TD
AJ Fletcher
Themba Gorimbo
46
Sig strikes landed
49
89
Sig strikes attempted
101
61
Total strikes landed
61
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
183s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
48%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
AJ Fletcher
"The Ghost"
10-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
Blue corner
Themba Gorimbo
"Mamba"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32