Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Ovince Saint Preux vs Philipe Lins
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ovince Saint Preux
Philipe Lins
46%
54%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
40
Age
Δ 2y
38
28-18
Career record
Δ 18 pp
19-5
W1
Current streak
W1
25
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Saint Preux: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Lins: 18 sig / 0 TD
Ovince Saint Preux
Philipe Lins
30
Sig strikes landed
33
59
Sig strikes attempted
70
48
Total strikes landed
50
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ovince Saint Preux
28-18
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database
25 fights · 14-11
Last 5
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
Blue corner
W1
Philipe Lins
"Monstro"
19-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—