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William Knight vs Marcin Prachnio

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
William Knight
Marcin Prachnio
55% 45%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
35
Age
Δ 0y
35
11-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-10
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Knight: 8 sig / 0 TD · Prachnio: 79 sig / 0 TD
William Knight
Marcin Prachnio
30
Sig strikes landed
39
59
Sig strikes attempted
75
40
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.2
2.8
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
100s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

William Knight

"Knightmare"
11-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
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L UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
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W UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
L1

Marcin Prachnio

17-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
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