Back to UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Prelims1 Featherweight

Dan Argueta vs Nick Aguirre

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Dan Argueta
Nick Aguirre
57% 43%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Argueta: 47 sig / 4 TD · Aguirre: 14 sig / 0 TD
Dan Argueta
Nick Aguirre
29
Sig strikes landed
39
59
Sig strikes attempted
80
45
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
183s
Control time
118s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dan Argueta

"The Determined"
9-4 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
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Blue corner

Nick Aguirre

"Slick"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27