Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Charles Johnson
Jimmy Flick
61%
39%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
20-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
18-9
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Johnson: 34 sig / 0 TD ·
Flick: 7 sig / 1 TD
Charles Johnson
Jimmy Flick
36
Sig strikes landed
37
93
Sig strikes attempted
83
45
Total strikes landed
44
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.6
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
43s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
20-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jimmy Flick
"The Brick"
18-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—