Main
Women's Bantamweight
Ketlen Vieira vs Raquel Pennington
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ketlen Vieira
Raquel Pennington
72%
28%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
17-5
Career record
Δ 14 pp
17-10
W2
Current streak
W4
9
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Vieira: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Pennington: 81 sig / 0 TD
Ketlen Vieira
Raquel Pennington
62
Sig strikes landed
70
136
Sig strikes attempted
135
100
Total strikes landed
99
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.3
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
163s
Control time
165s
Method
Decision
82%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ketlen Vieira
"Fenomeno"
17-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
L
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
Blue corner
W4
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
L
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—