Main
Middleweight
Punahele Soriano vs Roman Kopylov
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Punahele Soriano
Roman Kopylov
62%
38%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
75"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
14-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
16-5
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Soriano: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Kopylov: 82 sig / 1 TD
Punahele Soriano
Roman Kopylov
44
Sig strikes landed
48
91
Sig strikes attempted
103
52
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
67s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
68%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Punahele Soriano
"Puna"
14-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
Blue corner
W1
Roman Kopylov
16-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—