Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Damon Jackson
41%
59%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
19-12
Career record
Δ 11 pp
24-8-1
L3
Current streak
W4
12
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Ige: 34 sig / 1 TD ·
Jackson: 36 sig / 0 TD
Dan Ige
Damon Jackson
40
Sig strikes landed
38
72
Sig strikes attempted
85
52
Total strikes landed
62
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.1
0.9
Takedowns attempted
6.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
65s
Control time
236s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Dan Ige
"100K"
19-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
Blue corner
W4
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
24-8-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—