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Sean Strickland vs Nassourdine Imavov

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sean Strickland
Nassourdine Imavov
75% 25%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
31-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
18-4
L2
Current streak
W3
17
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Strickland: 182 sig / 1 TD · Imavov: 123 sig / 0 TD
Sean Strickland
Nassourdine Imavov
86
Sig strikes landed
68
169
Sig strikes attempted
155
85
Total strikes landed
83
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
54s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Sean Strickland

31-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 17 fights · 12-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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L UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
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W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
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W UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
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Blue corner
W3

Nassourdine Imavov

"The Sniper"
18-4 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
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W UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—