Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Shane Young
Blake Bilder
57%
43%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
L2
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Young: 80 sig / 0 TD ·
Bilder: 111 sig / 1 TD
Shane Young
Blake Bilder
50
Sig strikes landed
46
121
Sig strikes attempted
107
66
Total strikes landed
55
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Shane Young
"Smokin'"
13-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
—
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
Blue corner
Blake Bilder
"El Animal"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
33