Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Loma Lookboonmee vs Elise Reed
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
·RAC Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Loma Lookboonmee
Elise Reed
66%
34%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
11-5
Career record
Δ 4 pp
9-5
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Lookboonmee: 17 sig / 2 TD ·
Reed: 17 sig / 0 TD
Loma Lookboonmee
Elise Reed
43
Sig strikes landed
38
79
Sig strikes attempted
91
68
Total strikes landed
66
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
226s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Loma Lookboonmee
11-5
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
Blue corner
W1
Elise Reed
9-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—