Back to UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
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Jimmy Crute vs Alonzo Menifield

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski ·RAC Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jimmy Crute
Alonzo Menifield
63% 37%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
27
Age
Δ 8y
35
14-5-2
Career record
Δ 6 pp
19-6-1
L2
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Crute: 31 sig / 6 TD · Menifield: 56 sig / 0 TD
Jimmy Crute
Alonzo Menifield
17
Sig strikes landed
22
37
Sig strikes attempted
42
27
Total strikes landed
37
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
90s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
35%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jimmy Crute

14-5-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
L UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
Blue corner
W2

Alonzo Menifield

"Atomic"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—