🏆 Title fight
Main
Featherweight
Yair Rodriguez vs Josh Emmett
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
·RAC Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yair Rodriguez
Josh Emmett
76%
24%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
30
Age
Δ 8y
38
22-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
20-7
W1
Current streak
W5
12
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Rodriguez: 62 sig / 0 TD ·
Emmett: 22 sig / 1 TD
Yair Rodriguez
Josh Emmett
80
Sig strikes landed
77
183
Sig strikes attempted
178
92
Total strikes landed
86
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
64s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Yair Rodriguez
"El Pantera"
22-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
12 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
Blue corner
W5
Josh Emmett
20-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—