Back to UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Luan Lacerda vs Cody Stamann

UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill ·Farmasi Arena

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Luan Lacerda
Cody Stamann
54% 46%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 7"
64"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
11

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lacerda: 80 sig / 1 TD · Stamann: 103 sig / 0 TD
Luan Lacerda
Cody Stamann
44
Sig strikes landed
51
99
Sig strikes attempted
98
58
Total strikes landed
71
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Luan Lacerda

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
W1

Cody Stamann

"The Spartan"
22-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 11 fights · 6-4
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