Prelims2
Heavyweight
Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Jailton Almeida
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
·Farmasi Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Jailton Almeida
22%
78%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
41
Age
Δ 10y
32
20-9
Career record
Δ 13 pp
23-5
L3
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Abdurakhimov: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Almeida: 45 sig / 3 TD
Shamil Abdurakhimov
Jailton Almeida
9
Sig strikes landed
28
23
Sig strikes attempted
50
25
Total strikes landed
50
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
82s
Control time
210s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Shamil Abdurakhimov
"Abrek"
20-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
10 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
L
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
Blue corner
W3
Jailton Almeida
"Malhadinho"
23-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—