🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
·Farmasi Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Deiveson Figueiredo
Brandon Moreno
63%
37%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
35
Age
Δ 6y
29
26-7-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
24-10-2
W1
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 3
Figueiredo: 19 sig / 1 TD ·
Moreno: 48 sig / 3 TD
Deiveson Figueiredo
Brandon Moreno
47
Sig strikes landed
56
99
Sig strikes attempted
132
51
Total strikes landed
66
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.1
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
94s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
13 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
D
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Brandon Moreno
"The Assassin Baby"
24-10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
13 fights · 8-3
Last 5
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
D
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—