🏆 Title fight
Main
Light Heavyweight
Glover Teixeira vs Jamahal Hill
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
·Farmasi Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Glover Teixeira
Jamahal Hill
79%
21%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
43
Age
Δ 12y
32
33-10
Career record
Δ 0 pp
13-4
L1
Current streak
W3
22
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Teixeira: 75 sig / 2 TD ·
Hill: 232 sig / 0 TD
Glover Teixeira
Jamahal Hill
59
Sig strikes landed
88
104
Sig strikes attempted
143
79
Total strikes landed
97
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.0
7.2
Takedowns attempted
-0.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
188s
Control time
30s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Glover Teixeira
33-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43
In our database
22 fights · 16-6
Last 5
L
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teix…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—
Blue corner
W3
Jamahal Hill
"Sweet Dreams"
13-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—