Back to UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs Chris Daukaus

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Chris Daukaus
63% 37%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
15-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-8
L2
Current streak
L2
10
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rozenstruik: 12 sig / 0 TD · Daukaus: 1 sig / 0 TD
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Chris Daukaus
22
Sig strikes landed
25
51
Sig strikes attempted
53
28
Total strikes landed
33
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.1
0.7
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.50
40s
Control time
13s
Method
Decision
10%
KO/TKO
88%
Submission
3%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

"Bigi Boy"
15-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
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L UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
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W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
Blue corner
L2

Chris Daukaus

12-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. San…
—