Back to UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Prelims1 Middleweight

Edmen Shahbazyan vs Dalcha Lungiambula

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev ·T-Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Edmen Shahbazyan
Dalcha Lungiambula
81% 19%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
25
Age
Δ 10y
35
16-6
Career record
Δ 12 pp
11-7
L3
Current streak
L3
7
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Shahbazyan: 54 sig / 0 TD · Lungiambula: 23 sig / 0 TD
Edmen Shahbazyan
Dalcha Lungiambula
35
Sig strikes landed
22
73
Sig strikes attempted
42
56
Total strikes landed
37
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Edmen Shahbazyan

"The Golden Boy"
16-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
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L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
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W UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
W UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
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Blue corner
L3

Dalcha Lungiambula

"Champion"
11-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
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L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
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L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Katt…
—