Main
Welterweight
Bryan Barberena vs Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
·Amway Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Bryan Barberena
Rafael Dos Anjos
50%
50%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
34
Age
Δ 4y
38
19-12
Career record
Δ 3 pp
32-18
W3
Current streak
L1
15
UFC fights in our DB
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Barberena: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Dos Anjos: 20 sig / 4 TD
Bryan Barberena
Rafael Dos Anjos
62
Sig strikes landed
59
140
Sig strikes attempted
115
92
Total strikes landed
89
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.9
0.9
Takedowns attempted
6.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
80s
Control time
218s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
19-12
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. H…
—
Blue corner
L1
Rafael Dos Anjos
32-18
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
29 fights · 19-10
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—