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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Angela Hill vs Emily Ducote

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland ·Amway Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Angela Hill
Emily Ducote
38% 62%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
38
Age
Δ 9y
29
20-16
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-9
W1
Current streak
W1
21
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hill: 182 sig / 0 TD · Ducote: 71 sig / 0 TD
Angela Hill
Emily Ducote
127
Sig strikes landed
110
226
Sig strikes attempted
235
107
Total strikes landed
116
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.5
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.50
119s
Control time
50s
Method
Decision
88%
KO/TKO
7%
Submission
5%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Angela Hill

"Overkill"
20-16
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 21 fights · 9-12
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
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L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
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L UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
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W UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
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Blue corner
W1

Emily Ducote

"Gordinha"
14-9
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
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