Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Niko Price
Phil Rowe
55%
45%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
80"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
17-11
Career record
Δ 2 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
W2
14
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Price: 110 sig / 0 TD ·
Rowe: 63 sig / 1 TD
Niko Price
Phil Rowe
43
Sig strikes landed
41
90
Sig strikes attempted
83
57
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
126s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
17-11
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
14 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
L
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
—
Blue corner
W2
Phil Rowe
"The Fresh Prince"
12-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—