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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Vince Morales vs Miles Johns

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Vince Morales
Miles Johns
38% 62%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
16-12
Career record
Δ 14 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Morales: 39 sig / 0 TD · Johns: 38 sig / 1 TD
Vince Morales
Miles Johns
54
Sig strikes landed
54
127
Sig strikes attempted
128
61
Total strikes landed
63
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
46s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Vince Morales

"Vandetta"
16-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
L UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
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L UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs…
—
Blue corner
L1

Miles Johns

"Chapo"
15-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
—
L UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—