Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Jennifer Maia vs Maryna Moroz
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jennifer Maia
Maryna Moroz
63%
37%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 3"
67"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
21-11-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
12-6
L2
Current streak
W3
9
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Maia: 109 sig / 0 TD ·
Moroz: 80 sig / 0 TD
Jennifer Maia
Maryna Moroz
67
Sig strikes landed
62
169
Sig strikes attempted
157
95
Total strikes landed
84
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
162s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
86%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Jennifer Maia
21-11-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
Blue corner
W3
Maryna Moroz
"Iron Lady"
12-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—