Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Vanessa Demopoulos vs Maria Oliveira
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vanessa Demopoulos
Maria Oliveira
33%
67%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 10"
69"
34
Age
Δ 8y
26
12-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
14-7
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Demopoulos: 55 sig / 2 TD ·
Oliveira: 83 sig / 0 TD
Vanessa Demopoulos
Maria Oliveira
62
Sig strikes landed
67
161
Sig strikes attempted
172
88
Total strikes landed
87
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
149s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
7%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
12-8
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
W1
Maria Oliveira
"Spider-Girl"
14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—