Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Qiu Lun
SeungGuk Choi
61%
39%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
25
Age
Δ 0y
26
17-9
Career record
Δ 7 pp
8-3
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lun: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Choi: 26 sig / 3 TD
Qiu Lun
SeungGuk Choi
56
Sig strikes landed
49
108
Sig strikes attempted
110
67
Total strikes landed
60
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.4
Takedowns attempted
5.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
55s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
82%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Qiu Lun
"Tibetan Knight"
17-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 1.2
—
Blue corner
W1
SeungGuk Choi
8-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Road to UFC 1.1
—