Back to Road to UFC 1.5
Main Lightweight

WonBin Ki vs Jeka Saragih

Road to UFC 1.5 ·Etihad Arena

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
WonBin Ki
Jeka Saragih
47% 53%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
19-9
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-5
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Ki: 12 sig / 0 TD · Saragih: 15 sig / 0 TD
WonBin Ki
Jeka Saragih
29
Sig strikes landed
29
57
Sig strikes attempted
55
43
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
91s
Control time
177s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

WonBin Ki

"The Danger"
19-9
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Road to UFC 1.1
Blue corner
W1

Jeka Saragih

15-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Road to UFC 1.2