Back to UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Main Featherweight

Darrick Minner vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Darrick Minner
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
19% 81%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
69"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
26-15
Career record
Δ 14 pp
40-12
L2
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Minner: 5 sig / 0 TD · Nuerdanbieke: 19 sig / 0 TD
Darrick Minner
Shayilan Nuerdanbieke
18
Sig strikes landed
19
33
Sig strikes attempted
42
38
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
165s
Control time
237s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Darrick Minner

26-15
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
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L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
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W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
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Blue corner
W2

Shayilan Nuerdanbieke

"Wolverine"
40-12
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
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L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
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