Prelims1
Welterweight
Bryan Battle vs Rinat Fakhretdinov
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bryan Battle
Rinat Fakhretdinov
28%
72%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
14-2
Career record
Δ 5 pp
25-1-1
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Battle: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Fakhretdinov: 43 sig / 7 TD
Bryan Battle
Rinat Fakhretdinov
26
Sig strikes landed
34
62
Sig strikes attempted
56
50
Total strikes landed
49
0.0
Takedowns landed
2.7
1.1
Takedowns attempted
6.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
44s
Control time
261s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Bryan Battle
"The Butcher"
14-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
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Blue corner
W1
Rinat Fakhretdinov
"Gladiator"
25-1-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
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