Prelims1
Bantamweight
Said Nurmagomedov vs Saidyokub Kakhramonov
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Said Nurmagomedov
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
59%
41%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
19-5
Career record
Δ 1 pp
11-3
W3
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Nurmagomedov: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Kakhramonov: 11 sig / 5 TD
Said Nurmagomedov
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
33
Sig strikes landed
33
69
Sig strikes attempted
72
54
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.2
Takedowns attempted
6.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
79s
Control time
231s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Said Nurmagomedov
19-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
—
Blue corner
W2
Saidyokub Kakhramonov
11-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—