Prelims1
Catch Weight
Julija Stoliarenko vs Chelsea Chandler
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Julija Stoliarenko
Chelsea Chandler
56%
44%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
W1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Stoliarenko: 12 sig / 1 TD ·
Chandler: 38 sig / 0 TD
Julija Stoliarenko
Chelsea Chandler
38
Sig strikes landed
43
100
Sig strikes attempted
94
65
Total strikes landed
66
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
150s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Julija Stoliarenko
12-10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 1-4
Last 5
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
Blue corner
Chelsea Chandler
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32