Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mike Davis
Viacheslav Borshchev
80%
20%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
13-3
Career record
Δ 34 pp
8-8-1
W2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Davis: 65 sig / 9 TD ·
Borshchev: 63 sig / 0 TD
Mike Davis
Viacheslav Borshchev
46
Sig strikes landed
34
86
Sig strikes attempted
89
59
Total strikes landed
35
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
169s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Mike Davis
"Beast Boy"
13-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Wat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
Blue corner
L1
Viacheslav Borshchev
"Slava Claus"
8-8-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—